Week 16 anytime TD bets: Metcalf highlights 5 value picks

We only hit twice last week, but thankfully, Tony Pollard at +275 got us over the profit line. We're now 9-for-16 over the past three weeks attacking plus-money touchdown scorers, and there's a ton of value on the board this weekend to continue a tremendous season.

Here are my favorite value touchdown bets for Sunday's slate.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+150)

McConkey leads Chargers wideouts in routes run, targets, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns over Los Angeles' last 10 games. Now he has a great matchup against a Cowboys defense that's allowed a league-high 24 touchdowns through the air to wide receivers, four more than any other team.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+165)

Metcalf has been, without a doubt, Aaron Rodgers' most reliable pass-catcher this season, and he should see a ton of targets against a Lions defense that's allowed the most yards and second-most touchdowns to opposing wideouts. Detroit's secondary is extremely banged up, and no one on the roster can match Metcalf's physicality.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+260)

Cleveland's 45% man-coverage rate is the highest among all NFL defenses by a wide margin, and Shakir leads all Buffalo wide receivers in receiving yards and receptions against man. The Browns' defense is solid but has allowed the seventh-most scores to wideouts in 2025, making Shakir's odds at +260 good value.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+260)

Waller cashed for us at +225 against Pittsburgh, and now he gets better odds against this atrocious Bengals defense. Quinn Ewers gets his first career start, and two of his go-to targets at Texas were tight ends Gunnar Helm and Ja'Tavion Sanders. Cincy's defense is historically bad versus tight ends: They've allowed 15 scores to the position, five more than the next team. We're 8-10 this season when picking tight ends playing the Bengals, and this is a great spot to attack this trend once again.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+350)

We'll finish with a long shot and go with the second-year running back who had a breakout game last week, totaling 118 yards on 17 touches. Woody Marks is expected to miss Sunday's contest, meaning Jordan should get a nice workload against a Raiders defense that's surrendered the second-most touchdowns on the ground to running backs in 2025.

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