Black Friday bets: Finding discounts in Eagles vs. Bears

The Bears visit the Eagles for a Black Friday meeting to satisfy your football cravings a day after stuffing yourself with Thanksgiving's turkey feast and three-game slate.

Let's get to our pick against the spread, favorite touchdown scorer bets, and player props to target.

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🏈 Pick: Bears (+7.5)

Chicago feels undervalued in this game. They lead the NFC North at 8-3, boast a top-10 offense in expected points added per play (EPA/play), and have a defense that leads the league in turnovers. You can say that you still don't fully trust them, but this is the best team the Bears have fielded in years, and they're getting over a touchdown against an Eagles squad struggling to score.

Philadelphia posted wins over Green Bay and Detroit, but it only put up a combined 26 points, and neither win was by more than seven. Then, the Eagles blew a 21-point lead to the Cowboys last week after getting shut out in the second half. While the defense is playing as well as any in the league, something is off with the offense, making me hesitant to back Philly to cover by more than a touchdown.

NFL news editor Brenden Deeg is our "Anytime TD Guy," providing touchdown scorer props all season long.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+165)

Chicago is likely to again be without its top three linebackers on Friday, opening the door for Goedert to have a big game. His seven touchdowns this season are tied for the most among all NFL tight ends, and the Bears have surrendered the fifth-most receptions to the position this campaign.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+225)

Monangai has still received a healthy workload since D'Andre Swift's return to the lineup, recording 31 carries and a touchdown across the last three games. These are great odds for a running back who leads his team in red-zone attempts since Oct. 4.

🏈 Bet: Over 3.5 receptions

Odunze's production may have dipped over recent weeks, but his opportunities haven't diminished. He has seen five or more targets in 10 of 11 contests this season, including six or more in four of his last five. Odunze should continue to get plenty of chances to make plays in this one, especially if the Bears struggle to run the ball effectively.

🏈 Bet: Over 3.5 receptions

Chicago's giving up 6.55 receptions per game to the position this campaign, the fourth most in the league. Goedert should be actively involved in the passing game, especially with DeVonta Smith banged up.

🏈 Bet: Under 212.5 passing yards

Jalen Hurts has thrown for 212.5 or fewer yards in three of his past four outings. The Eagles' game plan should be to establish the run against the Bears, who give up the fifth-most rushing yards per contest (138.1). I don't see this turning into a shootout, which means Hurts will likely have a quieter day through the air.

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