SNF bets: Patriots being disrespected on road vs. Ravens

The Ravens welcome the Patriots to Baltimore to close out Sunday's slate. Lamar Jackson and Co. are in must-win territory, sitting at 7-7 and outside the playoff picture. Meanwhile, the Patriots' sights are set on the No. 1 seed in the AFC, and they need to keep winning to secure their division.

Let's get to our pick against the spread, favorite touchdown scorer bets, and player props for Sunday Night Football.

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🏈 Pick: Patriots (+3)

This is a rather simple handicap. The Patriots have a better offense and defense and a far superior record to show for it. Their offense ranks sixth in SumerSports' expected points added per play (EPA/play), and their defense is 12th. As for the Ravens, their offense ranks 20th and their defense is 16th in EPA/play.

The only case that can be made for the Ravens is that they're the more desperate team as they battle for the AFC North title and a playoff spot. But the Patriots are in their own AFC East race and fighting to earn the top seed in the conference.

This spread suggests the Ravens would be slight favorites on a neutral field, which I do not understand. Give me the Patriots and three points.

NFL news editor Brenden Deeg is our "Anytime TD Guy," providing touchdown scorer props all season long.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+110)

It took a while, but Henderson is finally getting a heavy workload. He has 90 touches and seven touchdowns in his last five games and is coming off a massive 161-yard, two-score performance. Getting him at plus money is too much value to pass up.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+375)

We'll go with a long-shot pick on Baltimore's side. Bateman has been a full participant in practice this week and is off the injury report for Sunday night. This is great value for a starting wide receiver who's played over 70% of the snaps this season, as New England's defense has allowed the fifth-most touchdowns to wideouts in 2025.

🏈 Bet: Longest rush over 14.5 yards

Henderson, who's emerged as the Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite on theScore Bet, is one of the most explosive backs in the league. He's had long rushes of 65 and 26 yards in the last two games and surpassed this number in four of his past seven games.

🏈 Bet: Over 2.5 receptions

The Patriots like to spread the ball around, but getting plus money on Boutte to reel in three Drake Maye passes seems like good value. He's recorded at least three receptions in four of his last seven starts, a 57.1% hit rate, while his +115 odds imply a probability of only 46.5%. Additionally, the Ravens concede the sixth-most receptions per game to wide receivers (12.36).

🏈 Bet: Over 2.5 receptions

The Patriots allow 6.14 receptions per game to tight ends, tied for the sixth most in the league, and Likely has surpassed this total in back-to-back games with nine combined receptions. Mark Andrews has just eight catches over his last four games as Likely's role in the offense has increased.

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