NFL Week 9 prop party: Will Allen carve up the Bills' playoff kryptonite?

Last week was a forgettable one for our player props as we targeted tight ends for National Tight End Day. Let's get back to using the entire player position pool and bounce back. Remember, we're giving out our five favorite player props and five favorite touchdown scorers. Let's dive in.

👉 Check out a full selection of player props on ESPN BET and theScore Bet here

🏈 Bet: Under 231.5 passing yards

Maye has been incredible this season and is a deserving MVP contender. But this is the spot to fade him as everyone buys into the hype. The Falcons have the NFL's best passing defense, allowing only 149 passing yards per game. No quarterback the Falcons have played this year has come close to eclipsing 230 passing yards. While the Patriots still trust their quarterback, they'll likely try to establish the run against Atlanta.

🏈 Bet: Under 5.5 receptions

Jefferson recorded four and three receptions, respectively, in the two games J.J. McCarthy started. With McCarthy back this week versus the Lions, the Vikings' passing game and Jefferson's production will likely dip, especially against the eighth-best defense in the NFL. As much as Minnesota wants to feed its best weapon, McCarthy isn't a proven passer.

🏈 Bet: Over 19.5 rushing yards

J.K. Dobbins is still the Broncos' primary running back, but Sean Payton has trusted rookie Harvey more in recent weeks. He rushed for 46 yards on seven carries last week. In fact, any time Harvey's rushed more than five times, he's accumulated at least 40 yards. This won't become a split backfield anytime soon, but Harvey's workload should increase as the season progresses.

🏈 Bet: Over 233.5 passing yards

Everyone knows Allen has lost four straight playoff games against the Chiefs, but the Bills have been much more successful against them in the regular season. Even when Buffalo loses, Allen typically has a monstrous outing. He's thrown for at least 233 yards in seven of his last eight contests against Kansas City, playoffs and regular season included. Furthermore, in the Bills' last four regular-season games against the Chiefs, Allen is averaging 284 passing yards. Sunday shouldn't buck the trend.

🏈 Bet: Over 16.5 rushing yards

Williams isn't a consistent runner, but he's more than capable of taking off for big gains, and he's shown it more this year than last. There's no better time to use his legs than against the Bengals' rushing defense, which allows the most rushing yards per game in the NFL. Ben Johnson's play sheet should feature quarterback draws and other designed runs for Williams.

👉 Check out a full selection of TD scorer props on ESPN BET and theScore Bet here

NFL news editor Brenden Deeg will provide touchdown scorer props all season long.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+140)

With Travis Hunter headed to injured reserve, Thomas is the Jags' clear-cut top target for the foreseeable future. He's struggled this season compared to his rookie year, but he has 23 targets over his last three games and should return to form soon. Las Vegas' pass defense has been a mess in 2025, sitting 27th in both success rate and EPA/dropback.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+145)

The second-year wideout has been busy over the last four weeks - his 40 targets rank behind only Ja'Marr Chase among all NFL pass-catchers. He also has three touchdowns during that stretch and will face a Titans defense that ranks 29th in EPA/dropback while allowing the fifth-most receiving yards to opposing wideouts.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+185)

With the 49ers banged up at receiver, Jennings has gotten top-wideout playing time in recent weeks. He's been on the field for over 85% of San Francisco's offensive snaps over the last two games, and that shouldn't change Sunday. The Giants have been tormented by wide receivers this year, allowing the second-most targets and most yards to the position.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+275)

If you've been following our picks this season, you know we've made a lot of money targeting tight ends against Cincinnati. The Bengals have surrendered four more touchdowns than any other team to the position this season while allowing the most targets. Loveland, whose playing time is increasing every week, is primed for the first breakout game of his career.

🙌 Bet: Anytime TD (+375)

Our long shot of the week needs no introduction. Mahomes is currently the favorite to be named MVP, and this has been his best season running the football. He's second on the team in rushing yards this season with 280 and has four scores on the ground through eight games. This is a steal at +375 odds, as Buffalo's surrendered the second-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks in 2025.

US: Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER; Hope is here. Call (800)-327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org for 24/7 support (MA); Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

ON: Please play responsibly. 19+. ON only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call ConnexOntario 24/7 at 1-866-531-2600. Text us at 247247 or chat with us at www.connexontario.ca.