Blue Jays climb AL East oddsboard after sweeping Yankees
The AL East standings aren't the only spot the Blue Jays are climbing after a four-game sweep of the Yankees moved them to first place in the division.
Toronto is also honing in on the top spot on the AL East oddsboard, a position New York once had a stranglehold on. The Blue Jays are now +220 to win the division at ESPN BET and theScore Bet, while the Yankees' odds are down to -120.
AL East odds
| Team | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -120 | 54.5% |
| Blue Jays | +220 | 31.3% |
| Rays | +360 | 21.7% |
| Red Sox | +3000 | 3.2% |
| Orioles | +10000 | 1% |
The Yankees opened the season at +150 to win the division, odds that shortened to -850 on May 28 when they had a seven-game lead and were eight games ahead of the Blue Jays. New York was given a roughly 90% chance at claiming the division crown at the end of May, which has now shrunk to only 54.5%.
Toronto's 22-10 record since May 28 has drastically increased its chances of winning the AL East. The Blue Jays were +1800 (5.3% implied probability) to win the division when they were eight games back of the Yankees, and they were +700 before welcoming Aaron Judge and Co. to the Rogers Centre on June 30. Compared to their current odds, the Blue Jays' sweep increased their division win probability by nearly 20%.
The Blue Jays are also being taken seriously in other futures markets. They are down to +2500 to win the World Series (ninth shortest odds), and +1000 to win the AL Pennant (fifth shortest odds). These odds were +5000 and +3000, respectively, on May 28. Toronto is also -450 to make the playoffs after being +320 a month ago.
We'll see how long the Blue Jays' hot streak can continue, or if the Yankees can turn their struggles around. But these two teams are currently heading in opposite directions, with slightly under half the season remaining.
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