March Madness Round of 32: Best bets, survivor picks for Sunday

Sunday's incredible slate of games will conclude the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. While favorites dominated Friday and Cinderellas may officially be dead, those results build exciting matchups in the Round of 32 and onward.

Sam Oshtry and Brenden Deeg are back with their favorite daily picks, best underdog moneyline play, and a survivor pick. Let's get to the action.

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🏀 No. 4 Kansas (+3.5) over No. 5 St. John's

Kansas entered the tournament as one of the hardest teams to handicap, but I think we'll continue to get the Darryn Peterson we saw in the first half against Cal Baptist. With the potential No. 1 pick playing at that level, the Jayhawks are one of the best teams in the country.

Kansas is a bad matchup for a St. John's squad that needs to win at the rim to succeed as the tournament progresses. The Jayhawks rank fourth in the nation in opponent 2-point field-goal percentage allowed, and Zuby Ejiofor will have a tough time in the paint against Flory Bidunga, whose presence will throw a wrench into Rick Pitino's game plan.

You can make the argument that the wrong team is favored in this matchup. I like the Jayhawks to keep this close or win outright. - Deeg

🏀 No. 1 Florida team total over 77.5

I think the sportsbooks are giving Iowa's defense too much credit with this total. Florida has eclipsed this number in 10 of its last 13 contests, and it just dropped 114 points in its opening-round matchup versus Prairie View A&M. Most of the Gators' starters sat in the second half, so they should be well-rested for Sunday night.

Despite the Hawkeyes having one of the best defenses in the country in terms of opponent points per game, they rank 113th in defensive rating. The Gators, meanwhile, have a top-10 scoring offense, and they're 24th in tempo, so Iowa will be forced to play at their speed. There's also a massive rebounding gap between the two, as Florida is the nation's best team at snagging boards, while Iowa ranks 353rd. I expect the Gators to light up the scoreboard in the second round. - Deeg

🏀 No. 1 Arizona (-9.5) over No. 9 Utah State

Utah State had no business advancing past the first round. It made just two threes and shot 13% from deep, while Villanova made 14 triples and shot 47% from downtown. Teams rarely win with that type of shooting disparity, but the Aggies outrebounded the Wildcats by 10, and the latter shot 46% from the free-throw line. That won't happen against a dominant Arizona squad, which won its opening-round contest over Long Island by 34 and hasn't lost a game in well over a month.

Arizona should overpower Utah State in the paint and on the glass. The Wildcats, who own the fourth-best offensive rebounding rate in the country, consistently generate extra scoring chances by controlling the glass. That explains how they have the fifth-most efficient offense despite their suspect 3-point shooting. The Aggies won't be able to keep up offensively and don't have the personnel to stop the Wildcats on the boards. - Oshtry

🏀 No. 3 Virginia (+1.5) over No. 6 Tennessee

Tennessee handily defeated Miami (Ohio) in the opening round. Although many fans became enamored with Miami's journey to the tournament, when the RedHawks met the Volunteers, it was a matchup of men versus boys.

Virginia presents a different test for the Vols, who lost four of their final six regular-season games. Nate Ament and Ja'Kobi Gillespie are Tennessee's two best players, but they rarely play well together. Gillespie scored 29 points in the tourney opener, while Ament registered zero. The Vols will need both to score consistently against the Cavaliers' elite defense. That seems unlikely given the team's recent performances. Tennessee's size and physicality can carry the group far in the tournament, but Virginia is equipped to match its toughness in what should be a physical, low-scoring affair. The wrong team is favored here. - Oshtry

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🏀 No. 7 UCLA (+170) over No. 2 UConn

UCLA -5.5 in the opening round was one of the worst beats you'll see for a while. Well, I'm picking them outright to take down Dan Hurley's team, which is playing its worst basketball of the season.

UConn struggled against 15-seed Furman on Friday and will soon face a much better opponent in UCLA. The Bruins will likely back get their leading scorer, Tyler Bilodeau, on Sunday after the senior missed the team's win over UCF. His return makes them even more dangerous offensively.

The Huskies have gone ice-cold from deep in recent weeks, while the Bruins boast an offense that ranks 20th in 3-point percentage. There's also a significant gap between them at the charity stripe, as UConn is 217th in free-throw percentage, and UCLA is 36th. With this game projected to be close, how each team fares at the line could determine the outcome. - Deeg

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Deeg: Florida

We've reached the point of the pool when you have to start thinking about using No. 1 seeds. With Vanderbilt possibly meeting Florida in the Sweet 16, it may be smart to take the Gators now, considering the Commodores rolled them in the SEC Tournament a week ago.

Florida's physical squad presents an unfavorable matchup for Iowa. The Gators are a double-digit favorite, and it would be a massive upset if they don't deliver a victory. I expect a comfortable win for Todd Golden's squad.

Oshtry: Iowa State

There aren't many viable survivor options Sunday. It's important to save the 1-seeds - and Purdue - for later rounds, or else you'll have no viable options if you make it to the Elite Eight. I don't trust Iowa State to advance much further than the Sweet 16. Joshua Jefferson's status worries me, but the Cyclones are a 5.5-point favorite, and they have the experienced veterans and great coaching to escape Kentucky.

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