Eagles are Super Bowl favorites for 1st time after Lions' shocking exit
The Eagles are favored to win the Super Bowl for the first time this season following a thrilling, snowy divisional win over the Rams.
Entering the playoffs, Philadelphia trailed the Lions, Chiefs, Bills, and Ravens on the Super Bowl oddsboard. But the Lions, who were the Super Bowl favorites heading into the weekend and garnered the second-most bets to win the big game on theScore Bet/ESPN Bet, suffered a shocking loss to the Commanders on Saturday.
Here are the updated Super Bowl odds with four teams remaining.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles | +175 | 36.4% |
| Bills | +225 | 30.8% |
| Chiefs | +225 | 30.8% |
| Commanders | +700 | 12.5% |
The Eagles leapfrogged the Bills and Chiefs because of their easier upcoming conference championship matchup. Philadelphia will play the Commanders at home as a 5.5-point favorite. Washington just defeated the NFC's No. 1 seed, but the line indicates - as do previous matchups - that the Eagles are the significantly better team.
The Chiefs are slight 1.5-point home favorites over the Bills in a contest between two heavyweights. A Kansas City three-peat would be the worst outcome for sportsbooks, as it has garnered a leading 36% of bets and 41% of money on the Super Bowl market.
Although it's more about their opponent, the Eagles are deservedly Super Bowl favorites after being disrespected by oddsmakers for much of the campaign. Philadelphia finished 14-3 with impressive regular-season wins over the Ravens, Rams, Steelers, and Commanders. Despite having the NFL's most complete roster, the Eagles were never the favorites to win the NFC or Super Bowl.
At +175, this is the Eagles' shortest price to win the Super Bowl. Their shortest regular-season price was +400 in mid-December, and they were +375 before the divisional round.
Philadelphia relies on its dominant offensive line and explosive running back Saquon Barkley to power its offense. It averaged the second-most rushing yards per game during the regular season. The Eagles' defense allowed the second-fewest points per contest. Although there are concerns regarding the passing game, Jalen Hurts is a competent, turnover-free quarterback with elite receivers. There are no holes on the roster.
The Bills are a more popular betting team than the Eagles with 30% of bets and 28% of the money on Buffalo and 23% of the bets and money on Philly among the remaining four teams. Less than 10% of bets and money are on the Commanders.
If Philadelphia escapes Washington, it'll likely be a slight Super Bowl underdog against the Bills or Chiefs. But first, the Eagles must defeat Jayden Daniels, who's playing as well as any remaining quarterback. The Commanders' defense struggles against prolific rushing attacks.
The Eagles rushed for 228 yards in their first meeting against their division rival. In the second meeting, they led 21-7 in the first half before Hurts was ruled out with a concussion. Washington ultimately came back to win against a backup quarterback.
In the other conference, the Bills looked impressive in a divisional win over the Ravens. They now face another battle against their biggest playoff foes. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have eliminated Josh Allen and Co. from the postseason three of the last four years. The Bills have another chance at redemption as road underdogs.
Sam Oshtry is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X @soshtry for more betting coverage.