Week 13 betting primer: Can Eagles extend win streak against Ravens?
There are fewer games than usual Sunday as Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday ate into the weekend's contests. But we're still breaking down four exciting Sunday matchups.
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
The Steelers are in Cincinnati for a huge AFC North matchup. Pittsburgh is battling for a division title, while the Bengals hope to keep their season alive coming off their bye.
Case for Steelers
- After a huge win over the Ravens, the Steelers lost to the Browns last Thursday. But that was off a short week when Mike Tomlin's teams typically struggle.
- Pittsburgh's defense allows the fourth-fewest points per game (16.9).
- The Steelers' offense also deserves credit for its progress since Russell Wilson became the starter. They're averaging 25.6 points per game over their last five games.
Case for Bengals
- The Steelers' defense is much better against the run than the pass, and the Bengals have a pass-heavy operation with one of the NFL's best quarterbacks.
- Cincinnati leads the NFL in passing yards. The Steelers won't have an answer for Joe Burrow and the Bengals' passing game.
Key trends
- The Steelers are 8-3 ATS, while the Bengals are 6-5.
- Pittsburgh is 57-43-1 ATS after a loss under Tomlin.
- The Bengals are 3-3 ATS after a bye under Zac Taylor.
- Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS at home.
- The Steelers are 4-2 ATS on the road and 2-0 ATS as a road underdog.
Pick: Bengals -3
The Bengals' season is essentially over with a loss. They're the more desperate group and have a prolific passing attack that the Steelers won't stop.
After a week off, the Falcons welcome the Chargers for a cross-conference battle between two playoff contenders. Atlanta has a one-game lead over the Buccaneers in a tight NFC South race. The Chargers will look to bounce back after losing to the Ravens on Monday to keep pace in the AFC wild-card race.
Case for Chargers
- The Chargers allow the fewest points per game (15.9), and the Falcons' offense struggled before its bye week.
- Atlanta lost to the Saints and Broncos while scoring a combined 23 points across both contests.
- The Chargers should have extra motivation following a loss and amid a close wild-card battle.
Case for Falcons
- The Falcons have a substantial rest advantage coming off their bye, while the Chargers had a grueling battle with the Ravens on Monday night and have to travel across the country.
- Atlanta has a top-five passing offense. Kirk Cousins struggled his last two games but has mostly been accurate this season. Extra rest should benefit the 36-year-old quarterback.
Key trends
- The Falcons are 5-6 ATS, while the Chargers are 7-4.
- The Chargers are 3-1 as an away favorite.
- Atlanta is 0-1 ATS as a home underdog.
- Los Angeles is 2-1 ATS after a loss.
Pick: Falcons +1.5
The Chargers are a well-coached, tough squad, but this is a challenging spot for them. It's difficult to play on the road on a short week against a well-rested team. Atlanta lost two straight before its bye and will bounce back with a win Sunday.
Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET
Get your popcorn ready. The Eagles take on the Ravens in what could be a Super Bowl preview. Both teams boast electrifying offenses led by dynamic quarterbacks and feature Offensive Player of the Year candidates in Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry.
Case for Eagles
- The Eagles are playing as well as anyone outside of the Lions. They've won seven straight and have the league's best rushing attack.
- Their defense has been just as good, holding opponents to a league-best 274 yards per game.
- Philadelphia consistently dominates teams in the trenches with its elite offensive and defensive lines.
Case for Ravens
- The Ravens have a similar offensive style to the Eagles, relying on the NFL's second-best rushing attack to fuel their offense.
- Philadelphia hasn't faced a run defense like the Ravens, which holds teams to the second-fewest rushing yards per game.
- Like the Eagles, the Ravens have a dangerous quarterback in Lamar Jackson who's capable of making plays with his legs and arm.
Key trends
- The Eagles are 7-4 ATS but have covered their last three games.
- The Ravens are 6-5-1 ATS.
- Baltimore has the highest over rate in the NFL, with 10 of its 12 games going over the total.
- Philly is 5-1 ATS on the road and 2-0 as a road underdog.
- The Eagles are 5-6-1 ATS with a rest advantage under Nick Sirianni.
- The Ravens are 31-24-3 ATS with a rest disadvantage under John Harbaugh (Baltimore played Monday night, while Philadelphia played Sunday night).
Pick: Eagles +2.5
The Eagles are an unstoppable offensive force when Barkley consistently carries the ball behind the NFL's best offensive line. Baltimore has the personnel to limit the run game, but Philadelphia has a capable quarterback in Jalen Hurts with elite playmakers on the outside. Plus, the Eagles' young defense is playing lights out.
Sunday Night Football
Week 13's Sunday slate ends with a doozy between the 49ers and Bills. San Francisco is coming off a disastrous road loss against the Packers, while the Bills are fresh off their bye week and have the AFC's 1-seed in their sights.
Case for 49ers
- The 49ers are broken physically and mentally. The Super Bowl hangover has hit them with injuries to almost every key offensive position.
- Brock Purdy was out last week, and his status for Sunday is uncertain.
- San Francisco lost to the Packers 38-10 last week.
- However, the 49ers aren't out of the NFC West race. They're 5-6 but still just one game out of first place.
- The only real case for the 49ers against one of the league's best teams is for Purdy to return and the team to play with a spark after last week's embarrassing result.
Case for Bills
- The Bills have won six straight and are one game back of the Chiefs for the AFC's No. 1 seed.
- Buffalo's offense is unstoppable with Josh Allen under center, scoring at least 30 points in five straight games.
- Buffalo's rushing attack is also ranked in the top third in the league, helping to relieve some pressure off Allen.
Key trends
- The Bills are 7-4 ATS and have covered five of their last six.
- The 49ers are 4-7 ATS and have covered just one of their last five.
- Buffalo is 4-2-2 ATS off a bye under Sean McDermott and 11-12-2 with a rest advantage.
- San Francisco is 15-13-1 with a rest disadvantage under Kyle Shanahan.
Pick: 49ers +7
This bet is counting on Purdy to play. Even if he doesn't, San Francisco should play with pride and desperation after its beatdown last week. Plus, the 49ers are still very much in the division race. The Bills are as good as any team in the NFL, but a touchdown spread is too many points.
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