Skip to content

Super Bowl LIX odds: Getting a taste of who's favored next season

Michael Owens / Getty Images Sport / Getty

The champagne hasn't yet dried on the Chiefs' second-straight victory celebration, but we're already looking ahead to next season.

Oddsmakers opened the Super Bowl LIX betting market even before Kansas City won Sunday's big game yet again. But does knowing the Chiefs are the two-time champs change how the market feels about next season? In short, no.

It's a little different this time around, though. The Chiefs were the Super Bowl LVIII favorites after defeating the Eagles in the final seconds of last year's game. But at the end of this year's final contest, Kansas City isn't atop the Super Bowl LIX oddsboard.

Let's try to make sense of these extremely early odds using estimated market ratings from the end of each team's season.

We'll use the last-known ranking for Joe Burrow's Bengals, Justin Herbert's Chargers, and Kirk Cousins' Vikings (though there's no certainty Cousins will return to Minnesota) since they all established their team's rating before season-ending injuries. Aaron Rodgers didn't have time to stabilize the Jets' rating, but his track record alone seems to carry enough weight with oddsmakers, placing New York 13th on the list.

Lastly, since ratings are estimated off closing lines, playoff losses that might discredit a team's rating haven't yet been factored in. The Ravens, Cowboys, and Browns are all lower down the oddsboard than their season-ending power rating would suggest.

With free agency and the NFL Draft on the horizon, there's plenty of room for these rankings to change, and we'll update them as necessary throughout the offseason.

Matt Russell is the lead betting analyst for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on social media @mrussauthentic.

Daily Newsletter

Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox