Bears-Packers best bets: More Lambeau misery in store for Chicago?

Justin K. Aller / Getty Images Sport / Getty

The Chicago Bears have lost five straight against the Green Bay Packers and five in a row at Lambeau, last winning there in 2015. Can Justin Fields help end this miserable run?

Here's how we're betting Bears-Packers:

C Jackson Cowart: Bears over 1.5 touchdowns (+110)

I'm as skeptical of the Bears' offense as the next guy behind their revolving door at QB, but this price is a gross overreaction to Chicago's scoring woes and leaves plenty of value on the table.

In Fields' nine games this year with a majority of the snaps, the Bears have scored at least two touchdowns in seven of them and at least 20 points in five, including in each of his last two full-game appearances. Chicago had one of its worst showings of the season the last time it faced the Packers and still managed a pair of scores in that one, too.

Green Bay's defense has had its moments of brilliance this year, but it's still surrendered at least two touchdowns in nine of 12 games - which includes a combined seven TDs allowed over the last two weeks. The Packers may not get torched in this matchup, but don't expect them to shut the door completely on Fields and Co.

Alex Moretto: Bears +12

You're paying quite a premium if you lay the points with the Packers here, and are getting a nice discount taking them with the Bears. Chicago is getting 12 points a week after getting seven against the Cardinals, and even when you account for home-field advantage, that's simply too big a jump.

The Bears didn't cover against Arizona, losing by 11, but that works to our benefit here. Andy Dalton was wildly irresponsible in the loss, throwing three interceptions directly leading to Cardinals touchdown drives of 28, 15, and 12 yards. Fields will be back under center for this one, and while he's no stranger to turning the ball over, his running ability is the perfect fit for this bad-weather game. In cold, wet, and windy conditions we're going to see a lot more running from both teams, helping the Bears stay within a big number.

We're also getting a better price on Chicago because the Packers are coming off their bye, which bettors are being asked to pay up for despite it being a spot that's actually negatively impacted teams over the last few years. Add in the return of Allen Robinson, and this is a really nice spot to back the Bears to keep it within single digits. I'd play this all the way down to +10.

Matt Russell: Bears +12

It may sound strange, but while Dalton gives the Bears a better chance to win a tightly lined game, I believe Fields has a better chance of preventing the Bears from getting blown out.

During the Mitch Trubisky era, this game was often lined in the single digits. I have this edition of the NFL's oldest rivalry at around 10 points, so there's a value element to this game. On the field, the Packers have continued to get it done as the NFL's best team against the spread, but that widely known fact is what's provided the extra points we're getting. Fields can keep a few drives alive with his playmaking ability, and the Bears should be locked in after being told all about how Aaron Rodgers owns them.

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Bears-Packers best bets: More Lambeau misery in store for Chicago?
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