NFL draft prop best bets: Buy Jefferson, Dobbins, Brown
There are hundreds of NFL draft props, but which ones should bettors target? theScore's betting team gives its top prop bets for the 2020 NFL Draft.
Thomas Casale
Denzel Mims under 32.5 -140
I played Mims at 100-1 to be the first receiver selected, and though that's a long shot, I really like his under draft position of 32.5. Mims is one of the most undervalued players heading into this draft; I'll be very surprised if he doesn't go in Round 1.
Mims stands 6-3, weighs 216 pounds, runs a 4.38-second 40-yard dash, and had a productive college career. Teams slated to pick in the top 15, such as the Jacksonville Jaguars and Denver Broncos, have been linked to Mims, so look for him to go off the board earlier than he has in most mock drafts.
J.K. Dobbins under 46.5 +100
My favorite bet of the entire draft is the under on Dobbins' draft position. I got this number early at 51.5, but it's still a steal at 46.5. There's a chance the former Ohio State standout sneaks into the end of the first round, but even if he doesn't, Dobbins will be selected early in Round 2.
The second day of the draft now typically sees a run on backs as teams look to avoid investing first-round money at the position. Dobbins somewhat quietly rushed for over 2,000 yards and 21 scores last season, and he has a chance to be a star in the NFL. There's no way he gets out of the top 40.
Alex Kolodziej
Justin Jefferson under 21.5 (-150)
I knew there'd be one prop I'd keep adding to as the days went by. Turns out it's the under on Jefferson's draft spot, which will wind up as my biggest stance for Thursday.
I have Jefferson as the No. 3 receiver behind CeeDee Lamb and Jerry Jeudy. Teams might value the speed of Henry Ruggs or the well-rounded tool kit of Jalen Reagor, but I can't envision a scenario in which Jefferson is still available beyond pick No. 21, which currently belongs to the receiver-needy Philadelphia Eagles.
Jacob Eason to be drafted before Jake Fromm (-225)
Imagine taking Fromm over Jalen Hurts, let alone over Eason, the most exciting Day 2 quarterback on the board. I love matchup props that pit a player I'm high on against a player I'm low on. This is pretty automatic for me, as I wouldn't be surprised to see Eason drafted a full round - or more - ahead of Fromm. Lay the juice on this prop bet.
Alex Moretto
2nd offensive player drafted: Jedrick Wills Jr. (+120)
It's somewhat painful to recommend this one at +120 after I bet it at +1400 a week ago, but such is the nature of draft props.
In a year when the quarterback market is soft, I don't expect any trades inside the top five. That means this prop comes down to the New York Giants at No. 4. Make no mistake, Dave Gettleman will be strengthening the offensive line - helping his last two top offensive picks, Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones, in the process - and all reports indicate Wills is New York's guy.
3rd overall pick: Derrick Brown (+425)
Assuming the Detroit Lions keep the No. 3 pick - and I'd lay a lot of money on them doing so - they're going defense. Everyone in the world has Jeffrey Okudah as the guy here, but the Lions can wait on a cornerback in a deep class. What they can't wait on is a defensive tackle. Detroit desperately needs Brown's speed and size after ranking 31st in the NFL in sacks last season and losing both Damon Harrison and A'Shawn Robinson in the offseason. Brown at +425 to go third overall is great value.