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NFL Week 11 trend plays: Trust Belichick after a loss

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We're back to highlight the best betting trends and angles. Last week, the trends foresaw a narrow Browns win and predicted San Francisco's first loss against Seattle.

Here are some of the notable trends to watch in Week 11.

(Trends are from Sports Database unless otherwise noted.)

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens

Line: Ravens -4

The NFL's hottest trend rears its ugly head for Houston, which is coming off its bye week after a trip to London. This year, teams post-London bye are 0-6 against the spread and 0-6 straight up. Ravens coach John Harbaugh is also on an 8-1 ATS run against teams coming off a bye, so don't put too much stock in the Texans' time off.

Trend play: Ravens -4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

Line: Saints -5.5

When Sean Payton's team falters, it knows how to bounce back. Payton's Saints are 44-28 ATS (61.1%) following a loss and 14-6 ATS when scoring fewer than 14 points in their previous game. They face a Buccaneers team riding an 0-4-1 ATS streak with an 0-3 ATS record at home.

Trend play: Saints -5.5

New York Jets at Washington Redskins

Line: Redskins -1.5

When two teams that have won fewer than 25% of their games play this late in the year, bet on the worse club. In Week 9 or later, the team with the inferior record is 18-12 ATS (60%) since 1990, with an 8-1 ATS run since 2013 and six straight covers dating back to 2017.

Trend play: Redskins -1.5

New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles

Line: Patriots -3.5

Do you really want to bet against Bill Belichick in this spot? Since he took over in 2000, the Patriots are 49-27-2 ATS (64.5%) after a loss and 15-7-2 (68.2%) in that spot as road chalk. Belichick is also on a 12-3 ATS run coming off a bye week.

Trend play: Patriots -3.5

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.

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