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MNF player props: Best bets for Seahawks-49ers

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The San Francisco 49ers host the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night to close out Week 10. Here are the best player props for the prime-time divisional clash.

Tyler Lockett under 5.5 catches and 79.5 receiving yards

Russell Wilson's MVP-caliber season has hinged on Lockett in the passing game. The veteran wide receiver already has 59 catches for 767 yards and six scores, and he has hit the century mark in back-to-back games. But in dissecting Monday's individual matchup, I don't love the spot for Lockett to continue running amok.

He'll draw K'Waun Williams for the bulk of his snaps, and the 49ers slot corner has forced a league-low opponent passer rating when he's been targeted this season. Lockett's also had a tough time getting going against San Francisco, combining for just three catches and 97 yards over his previous three games against the divisional foe.

Russell Wilson under 20.5 completions

I don't always agree with the Seahawks' choice to be run-oriented in a league that's shifted to more passing, but they'd probably be wise to stick to their game plan on Monday. San Francisco's weakness is against the rush, where they're No. 20 in DVOA this season. Against the pass? Good luck. The Niners are No. 1 in passing DVOA and No. 3 in explosive pass rate allowed. San Francisco's defense hasn't allowed a quarterback to complete 20 or more passes in a game since Week 2. I'd pass on going over any Wilson prop.

Jimmy Garoppolo under 0.5 interceptions

We played Derek Carr's interception prop last Thursday and will hit on one again with the same train of thought: Get a quarterback who doesn't make a lot of turnover-worthy throws against a defense that doesn't create a ton of havoc. Garoppolo ranks fourth-worst in aggression rate this season for qualified quarterbacks. Despite throwing seven interceptions, he hasn't been much of a gambler.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks' defense doesn't create a ton of pressure, ranking No. 31 in the league in adjusted sack rate. Garoppolo should see plenty of clean pockets and if he continues to be conservative, he'll be blemish-free in the turnover department.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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