2022 CBB title odds update: Best, worst values in futures market
We're less than 50 days away from Selection Sunday, which means value will soon start to evaporate in the NCAA Tournament futures market.
Here's a look at the oddsboard a little under two months out from tournament play:
Only listing teams with odds 100-1 or shorter
Teams to buy
We're admittedly late to the party on Auburn. But if you haven't scooped up the Tigers at any point since they were 70-1, you still might not be disappointed by buying this team.
If you like a squad with the probable No. 1 NBA draft pick and a tough-as-nails point guard who can score inside and out, this is your team. If you like those two key pieces surrounded by long, insanely athletic wings and big men that can guard more than one position, this is definitely your team.
Texas Tech +4000
The Big 12 this season is a nightly game of Mortal Kombat. Texas Tech just went toe-to-toe with the Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse in a double-overtime thriller less than two weeks after beating them in Lubbock.
The Red Raiders also picked up some big wins without key players prior to those matchups. Now, with Texas Tech at full strength and gelling under new head coach Mark Adams, it isn't just conference opponents that should be on high alert when taking the court against the Red Raiders.
It's been a rough season in Ann Arbor. However, with Hunter Dickinson in the middle and top-tier talent surrounding him, there was a reason the Wolverines were a top-five team in the preseason. Two big wins in the Big Ten last week have things looking up for a Michigan team on the bubble.
When backing a long shot at this time of the year, we're looking for programs that can move up the bracket's seeding throughout February and are capable of beating the top seeds in March. Juwan Howard's group will have ample chance to do both.
Teams to sell
I'm a card-carrying member of the "You people are all way too hard on Gonzaga" club, so it pains me to say this - the odds for this Bulldogs team are too short.
A +400 payout implies that Gonzaga wins the tournament 20% of the time. However, the Bulldogs could be nothing more than a small favorite in each game from the Elite Eight onward due to the number of legitimate contenders. That means a rolling moneyline parlay would give better odds than an investment two-plus months away from a possible payout.
We've seen this movie before. The Wildcats will move up a bracket because of Jay Wright's history of success in the tournament, but Villanova doesn't match up with the teams above it from a top-end talent standpoint. Plus, the programs listed just below have more recent tournament experience, if not also better talent.
Iowa State +5000
For a team in need of a big turnaround, Iowa State's start to the season was pleasantly surprising. Four good non-conference wins saw the Cyclones flirting with the top 10 in the polls, but a 2-5 conference start has sent them down to 31st in Kenpom.com's efficiency ratings, putting them right between San Diego State and San Francisco. While the program is looking up, 50-1 is flattering.
Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.