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NBA Wednesday player props: Fade Sabonis, Gobert

Sam Forencich / National Basketball Association / Getty

Tobias Harris drilled a late three and Gary Trent Jr. cashed both of his overs as we got back on track Tuesday with a 3-2 night.

Losing isn't in the cards for Wednesday. Here are the player props that we're rolling with.

Domantas Sabonis under 23.5 points

The Warriors are allowing opponents to shoot just 44% from the field, which ranks second in the NBA behind the Knicks. What's most impressive about the defense is how stacked it's been against across the board: The unit is top-six in field-goal percentage allowed versus four of the five spots on the floor, including No. 1 against power forwards. That should give bettors the green light to fade Sabonis here.

Sabonis has blown past this number in consecutive outings, but I question the competition of late: Four of the last five defenses that the Pacers have played rank inside the bottom 10 in efficiency.

Golden State held Sabonis to 18 in their prior meeting and should keep him quiet Wednesday night.

Rudy Gobert under 13.5 points

Marc Gasol will never match Anthony Davis' offensive impact, but the veteran big man hasn't skipped a beat for the Lakers defensively. He currently leads all players in defensive box plus-minus and, statistically, has one of the better matchups on the court Wednesday against Gobert. The Jazz center's been held to 11 or fewer points and has taken seven or fewer shots in three of his last four.

Fred VanVleet over 29.5 points+rebounds+assists

For once, I'd just like to win a points+rebounds+assists over prop. Luka Doncic was quiet Monday, then Kyrie Irving apparently decided to take the third quarter off on Tuesday. But I like VanVleet here.

This is an ideal get-right spot for the Raptors guard following a 4-for-14 effort from the field in Tuesday's loss to the 76ers. The Heat surrender close to four triples per game to shooting guards, as well as the seventh-most assists. I'd be surprised if VanVleet doesn't respond here.

Lonzo Ball over 2.5 made threes and 14.5 points

Ball's finally starting to find his shooting stroke. He's up to career highs in a multitude of categories in Year 4, including 3-point percentage, true shooting percentage, offensive rating, and points per game. Why the market is still so low on the Pelicans guard is beyond me.

He's canned at least three triples in 10 of his last 11 and now faces a Pistons defense that ranks 21st in 3-point percentage. Ball is most likely to draw Dennis Smith Jr., who grades out as Detroit's worst defender.

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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