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Cardinals to snap losing skid vs. Brewers

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Wednesday was another successful night on the diamond as we once again won two of three best bets.

We'll look to keep the momentum going with a couple more plays for Thursday's small card.

Cardinals (-130) @ Brewers (+110)

Sonny Gray is pitching as well as anybody right now. He's 4-1 with a 0.89 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP, and he's struck out 38 batters over just 30 innings of work.

He's hammering the zone with strikes and wasting very few pitches. Gray's also giving up next to no quality contact. His barrel rate of 4.2% is approximately half the league average, while he has an extremely low xwOBA of .243.

Gray's inducing grounders nearly 50% of the time, and his fly-ball rate of 23.9% is below average. He's posting remarkably strong numbers across the board.

He should produce another quality start against a struggling Brewers offense. They've scored just seven total runs against the past seven right-handed starters faced.

Getting Christian Yelich back from injury will help Milwaukee, but those outputs are still extremely concerning given the cast of characters the Brewers met in that time.

Brady Singer, Seth Lugo, Javier Assad, Jameson Taillon, Hayden Wesneski, Zach Eflin, and Ryan Pepiot are a decent batch of pitchers, but it's not like the Brewers have run into a string of aces. Most of those guys are 3-5 pitchers.

Gray is a big step up in class from what the Brewers have dealt with of late. He should keep their offense in check, positioning the Cardinals very well to break their losing streak.

If the Cardinals' offense can muster up any sort of run support against Tobias Myers - who's conceded nine runs through 13 innings this season - they stand a great chance of winning this game.

Bet: Cardinals (-130)

Erick Fedde: Over 15.5 outs

Fedde's on a nice little run. He's recorded 17 or more outs in three of his past four starts, falling short only against the Cardinals.

I think he's in a great spot to bounce back and chew up innings against the Guardians. They're a very good team but swing at a lot of pitches and don't draw many walks. That leads to a lot of balls put in play, which helps pitchers avoid extended at-bats and keep their pitch count low.

Each of the nine previous right-handed starters the Guardians have faced managed to record 16 or more outs. The lone exception was Kenta Maeda, who allowed eight baserunners in just two innings of work a few days ago.

So long as Fedde can avoid a hit parade, he has a great chance of going over this number. That doesn't seem a lot to ask - Fedde's allowed four or fewer hits in four of his past five starts.

It's also worth noting Fedde is sporting a great .243 xwOBA against left-handed bats over the past month, and the Guardians' lineup is loaded with them.

Odds: -125 (playable to -140)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.

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